VIDEO BELOW: Seniors unhappy with the handling of the COVID-19 pandemic at the federal level was one key factor highlighted by political talking heads Scott Jennings and Matt Jones that gives former Vice President Joe Biden the edge over President Donald Trump in the upcoming/ongoing 2020 Presidential Election.
In a panel discussion moderated by Kentucky Chamber Communications Director Jacqueline Pitts, Jennings and Jones offered commentary on the status of the U.S. Senate and the impacts of the recent U.S. Supreme Court appointment of Amy Coney Barrett in addition to the presidential race on a Kentucky Chamber webinar Tuesday.
Jones, the founder and host of Kentucky Sports Radio, said Trump’s inability to attract female voters in addition to the declining favorability numbers among senior citizens has resulted in an uphill battle for the incumbent President to win reelection.
“Senior citizens will be what elect Joe Biden,” Jones asid. “Polls suggest Biden is in the lead with this group now. Why? COVID-19. Seniors are scared because the virus kills seniors disproportionately. How else do you explain how Trump was up 14 points with this demographic in 2016, but is projected underwater with them now? COVID has to be it.”
Jennings, a CNN contributor and founder of RunSwitch PR, agreed with Jones on the senior demographic assessment and also pointed to how the two candidates have framed their 2020 campaigns as a contributing factor to Biden having the advantage.
“In order for Trump to win, his campaign needed to frame the election as Trump’s policies versus Biden’s policies,” Jennings said. “Trump has done poorly in framing it as such, while the Biden camp has framed this to be a referendum on Trump and specifically on Trump’s personality.”
Jennings also pointed to the disparities among Republicans and Democrats when it comes to the issues.
“If this election were about traditional presidential issues, Trump would have a much better chance,” Jennings continued. “I do think it’s still closer than people realize, but Trump’s tendency to make everything about himself is working in Biden’s favor.”
Jones said he expects Biden to win the presidential election, U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell to win his re-election race by 12 points, and the U.S. Senate to fall under Democratic control with a 51-49 majority after flipping seats in North Carolina and one of the races in Georgia.
Jennings said he thinks there is a 60 percent chance Biden wins the presidency and that is more likely than not that the Democrats take control of the U.S. Senate. He said turnout will be record breaking and Kentucky will be looked at as a model for how to handle this new election system.
Watch the full discussion to hear Jones and Jennings discuss the confirmation of Amy Coney Barrett to the United States Supreme Court, if polling is still an accurate predictor in elections, the presidential debates, the state House and state Senate races, what election night will look like, and more in the video below: